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Anti-Perseverance
Copyright Iain Fyffe, 2002
Published October 27, 2002

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Save percentage is a good stat for evaluating goaltender performance, but we can do better. What save percentage does not measure is a goaltender’s rhythm. Some goalies face a larger number of shots in a game, and are therefore able to get into a groove, to establish their rhythm, to build momentum. Other goalies have to wait long minutes between shots, cooling down, muscles tightening, being unable to really get into the game. Think about it, what’s more difficult: being able to stay focused on the game and build a rhythm stopping shots, or facing a shots every few minutes, then waiting for another, your mind wandering and you muscles cooling down, dulling your reflexes.

Fortunately, I have developed a stat that considers this. It’s called the Anti-Perseverance Index (API), and it combines save percentage and shots faced in such a way that reflects the advantage goalies facing more shots per game have. The formula is as follows:

((6 x SPct*)-SPG*) / 5.25 x 1000

Where SPct* is the goalie’s save percentage divided by the league average save percentage, and SPG* is the goalie’s shots faced per game divided by the league average shots faced per game. The league averages are used to make API figures directly comparable from year-to-year, so higher rating will not result just because save percentages are higher in a particular year, which is a common failing of many statistics.

Now that we have an accurate gage of goaltender performance, let’s look at some results, for the seasons 1955/56 through 1966/67. Here are the top four goalies by year (minimum 1600 minutes in a year).

1955/56

1. Jacques Plante 992
2. Glenn Hall 977
3. Terry Sawchuk 948
4. Harry Lumley 947

 1956/57

1. Jacques Plante 995
2. Glenn Hall 968
3. Don Simmons 965
4. Terry Sawchuk 963

1957/58

1. Jacques Plante 990
2. Don Simmons 967
3. Lorne Worsley 965
4. Glenn Hall 947

 1958/59                                    

1. Jacques Plante 986
2. Johnny Bower 954
3. Glenn Hall 949
4. Bill Chadwick 947

 1959/60

1. Jacques Plante 972
2. Glenn Hall 967
3. Terry Sawchuk 966
4. Johnny Bower 957

 1960/61

1. Charlie Hodge 979
2. Glenn Hall 971
3. Johnny Bower 970
4. Hank Bassen 969

 1961/62

1. Jacques Plante 979
2. Johnny Bower 969
3. Glenn Hall 967
4. Hank Bassen 966

 1962/63                 

1. Don Simmons 984
2. Jacques Plante 978
3. Terry Sawchuk 975
4. Glenn Hall 972

1963/64

1. Charlie Hodge 984
2. Johnny Bower 979
3. Glenn Hall 968
4. Terry Sawchuk 959

1964/65

1. Roger Crozier 977
2. Johnny Bower 970
3. Charlie Hodge 970
4. Glenn Hall 968

 1965/66

1. Lorne Worsley 987
2. Johnny Bower 979
3. Glenn Hall 967
4. Roger Crozier 966

1966/67

1. Glenn Hall 978
2. Charlie Hodge 974
3. Denis DeJordy 971
4. Eddie Giacomin 966

Glenn Hall may be called “Mr. Goalie”, but he should be known as “Mr. Consistency”. His API figures over these 12 years are 977, 968, 949, 949, 967, 971, 967, 972, 968, 968, 967, and 1978. He is in the top four every year, even though he leads only once. No one else in this period comes close to matching this consistency.

The top seasons for these 12 years are:

1. Jacques Plante 1956/57 995
2. Jacques Plante 1955/56 992
3. Jacques Plante 1957/58 990
4. Lorne Worsley 1965/66 987
5. Jacques Plante 1958/59 986
6. Charlie Hodge 1963/64 984
  Don Simmons 1962/63 984
8. Johnny Bower 1963/64 979
  Johnny Bower 1965/66 979
  Charlie Hodge 1960/61 979
  Jacques Plante 1961/62 979

All hail Jake the Snake! In this 12-year period, Jacques Plante has the top three seasons, as well as four of the top five and five of the top 11. Canadiens dominate the list, with two more spots going to Charlie Hodge.

Here are the average API figures for the goalies who played eight or more of these 12 years:

1. Jacques Plante 969
2. Johnny Bower 968
3. Glenn Hall 967
4. Terry Sawchuk 955
5. Lorne Worsley 939

The Holy Trinity of Plante, Bower and Hall soar above the rest, and there’s not a lot to separate these three. Identifying the best goalie from this era is certainly not easy, but I think the list above does a pretty fair evaluation.

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